KF Arsimi vs Shkendija Tetovo

11 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

KF Arsimi

Shkendija Tetovo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.1% DRAW 17.1% AWAY 73.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.2% 10.00 DRAW 17.6% 5.25 AWAY 73.2% 1.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Shkendija Tetovo has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

KF Arsimi Shkendija Tetovo

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Shkendija Tetovo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KF Arsimi Shkendija Tetovo

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Shkendija Tetovo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KF Arsimi Shkendija Tetovo

The combined recent performance profile favours Shkendija Tetovo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

KF Arsimi ↑ +2.50 (+33.3%)

Shkendija Tetovo ↓ -0.03 (-2.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.