Mexico Liga MX · MX

Toluca vs Juarez FC

31 Aug 2026 · 02:00

MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Home Lean

Home 72.8%

Draw 16.3%

Away 10.9%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 56.6 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Toluca Juarez FC

Shots 18.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Toluca, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Toluca Juarez FC

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 21.8 · On target allowed 9.0

Toluca has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Toluca Juarez FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Toluca.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Toluca ↑ +0.03 (+2.0%)

Juarez FC ↓ -1.00 (-10.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -2.493

Shot rating 76

Shots-on-target rating 34

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.