Dunkerque vs St Etienne

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Dunkerque

St Etienne

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.0% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 62.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.6% 5.12 DRAW 22.1% 4.33 AWAY 59.3% 1.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for St Etienne relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.1% win probability, compared with 59.3% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

St Etienne has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dunkerque St Etienne

Shots 13.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 15.5 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours St Etienne, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dunkerque St Etienne

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.8

St Etienne has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dunkerque St Etienne

The combined recent performance profile favours St Etienne.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Dunkerque ↑ +0.79 (+18.2%)

St Etienne ↓ -0.19 (-10.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.