Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock

07 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Pogon Szczecin

Wisla Plock

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 27.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% 2.27 DRAW 28.1% 3.50 AWAY 28.5% 3.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Pogon Szczecin

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pogon Szczecin Wisla Plock

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pogon Szczecin Wisla Plock

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pogon Szczecin Wisla Plock

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Pogon Szczecin ↑ +0.32 (+16.4%)

Wisla Plock ↓ -0.65 (-15.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.