Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice

14 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Radomiak Radom

Piast Gliwice

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.3% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 31.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.7% 2.42 DRAW 26.9% 3.58 AWAY 33.4% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Radomiak Radom relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.3% win probability, compared with 39.7% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Radomiak Radom

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Radomiak Radom Piast Gliwice

Shots 15.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Radomiak Radom, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Radomiak Radom Piast Gliwice

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Radomiak Radom Piast Gliwice

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Radomiak Radom ↑ +0.04 (+1.7%)

Piast Gliwice ↑ +0.03 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.