Netherlands Eredivisie · NL

AZ vs FC Groningen

08 Nov 2026 · 16:45

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for AZ. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.52 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.52. At this price, a home win for AZ does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

STOCHASTICBET 65.8%

PINNACLE 63.8% odd 1.52

DIFFERENCE +2.1 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 19.2%

PINNACLE 19.8% odd 4.89

DIFFERENCE -0.6 pp

AWAY

FC Groningen

STOCHASTICBET 15.0%

PINNACLE 16.5% odd 5.86

DIFFERENCE -1.5 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 15:51

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

AZ has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

AZ FC Groningen

Shots 17.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 15.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AZ FC Groningen

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.8

AZ has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AZ FC Groningen

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.