NEC vs Go Ahead Eagles

20 Sep 2026 · 16:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

NEC

Go Ahead Eagles

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 34.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% 2.31 DRAW 24.6% 4.00 AWAY 32.8% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NEC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NEC Go Ahead Eagles

Shots 10.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours NEC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NEC Go Ahead Eagles

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Go Ahead Eagles has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NEC Go Ahead Eagles

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

NEC ↑ +0.48 (+26.4%)

Go Ahead Eagles ↓ -1.03 (-25.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.