Santos Laguna vs Pachuca

27 Sep 2026 · 05:05

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Santos Laguna

Pachuca

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.9% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 47.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.9% 3.50 DRAW 26.6% 3.68 AWAY 45.5% 2.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Pachuca has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santos Laguna Pachuca

Shots 18.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 20.0 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Pachuca, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santos Laguna Pachuca

Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santos Laguna Pachuca

The combined recent performance profile favours Pachuca.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Santos Laguna ↑ +0.38 (+12.2%)

Pachuca ↓ -0.05 (-2.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.