Tijuana vs Atlas

26 Sep 2026 · 05:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Tijuana

Atlas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.6% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 27.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.7% 2.06 DRAW 27.5% 3.50 AWAY 25.8% 3.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Atlas

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tijuana Atlas

Shots 12.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 15.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tijuana Atlas

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Atlas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tijuana Atlas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tijuana ↑ +0.10 (+5.0%)

Atlas ↓ -0.18 (-4.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.