Santos Laguna vs Juarez FC

14 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.8 pp

Santos Laguna

Juarez FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.3% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 22.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.5% 2.04 DRAW 26.2% 3.70 AWAY 26.3% 3.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Santos Laguna clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.3% win probability, compared with 47.5% implied by the market. The 4.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Santos Laguna

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santos Laguna Juarez FC

Shots 10.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santos Laguna Juarez FC

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 20.8 · On target allowed 8.3

Santos Laguna has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santos Laguna Juarez FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Santos Laguna.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Santos Laguna ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

Juarez FC ↑ +0.15 (+4.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.