Chivas Guadalajara vs Unam Pumas

14 Sep 2026 · 03:07

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Chivas Guadalajara

Unam Pumas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.6% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 17.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.3% 1.55 DRAW 21.4% 4.50 AWAY 16.3% 5.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Unam Pumas

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chivas Guadalajara Unam Pumas

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chivas Guadalajara Unam Pumas

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chivas Guadalajara Unam Pumas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chivas Guadalajara ↓ 0.00 (-0.3%)

Unam Pumas ↑ +0.42 (+7.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.