Club America vs Tijuana

06 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.3 pp

Club America

Tijuana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.1% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 15.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.8% 1.61 DRAW 23.2% 4.08 AWAY 18.0% 5.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Club America clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.1% win probability, compared with 58.8% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Club America

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club America Tijuana

Shots 19.5 · On target 8.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Club America, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club America Tijuana

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club America Tijuana

The combined recent performance profile favours Club America.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Club America = (0.0%)

Tijuana = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.