Queretaro vs Monterrey

06 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +6.0 pp

Queretaro

Monterrey

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 51.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.8% 3.50 DRAW 26.4% 3.69 AWAY 45.9% 2.12

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Monterrey clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.8% win probability, compared with 45.9% implied by the market. The 6.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Monterrey has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Queretaro Monterrey

Shots 11.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 22.5 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Monterrey, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Queretaro Monterrey

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Monterrey has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Queretaro Monterrey

The combined recent performance profile favours Monterrey.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Queretaro = (0.0%)

Monterrey ↑ +0.09 (+4.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.