Atletico San Luis vs Chivas Guadalajara

06 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Atletico San Luis

Chivas Guadalajara

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.3% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 54.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.9% 4.42 DRAW 26.2% 3.70 AWAY 51.9% 1.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Chivas Guadalajara has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico San Luis Chivas Guadalajara

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 14.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico San Luis Chivas Guadalajara

Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Chivas Guadalajara has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico San Luis Chivas Guadalajara

The combined recent performance profile favours Chivas Guadalajara.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Atletico San Luis ↑ +0.18 (+4.2%)

Chivas Guadalajara ↑ +0.07 (+3.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.