Puntarenas vs Cartagines

07 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.5 pp

Puntarenas

Cartagines

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.2% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 43.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.1% 2.88 DRAW 27.5% 3.46 AWAY 39.4% 2.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Cartagines clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.9% win probability, compared with 39.4% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Cartagines has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Puntarenas Cartagines

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.0 Shots 15.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Cartagines, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Puntarenas Cartagines

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Cartagines has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Puntarenas Cartagines

The combined recent performance profile favours Cartagines.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Puntarenas ↓ -0.10 (-3.9%)

Cartagines ↓ -0.19 (-6.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.