Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa

06 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

Alajuelense

Deportivo Saprissa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.3% DRAW 34.0% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.0% 2.47 DRAW 33.2% 2.83 AWAY 28.8% 3.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Deportivo Saprissa

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alajuelense Deportivo Saprissa

Shots 16.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 16.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alajuelense Deportivo Saprissa

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alajuelense Deportivo Saprissa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Alajuelense ↓ -0.09 (-3.5%)

Deportivo Saprissa ↓ -0.04 (-1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.