Slovan Bratislava vs MSK Zilina

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.5 pp

Slovan Bratislava

MSK Zilina

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.2% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 24.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.4% 1.55 DRAW 20.7% 4.59 AWAY 17.9% 5.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates MSK Zilina substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 24.4% win probability, compared with 17.9% implied by the market. The 6.5 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

MSK Zilina has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Slovan Bratislava MSK Zilina

Shots 14.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 17.3 · On target 10.3

Recent attacking output favours MSK Zilina, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Slovan Bratislava MSK Zilina

Shots allowed 19.8 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.5

MSK Zilina has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Slovan Bratislava MSK Zilina

The combined recent performance profile favours MSK Zilina.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Slovan Bratislava ↓ -0.10 (-5.8%)

MSK Zilina ↑ +0.76 (+16.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.