KFC Komarno vs MFK Skalica

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp

KFC Komarno

MFK Skalica

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.6% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 24.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.4% 1.77 DRAW 24.3% 3.96 AWAY 21.3% 4.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for MFK Skalica relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 24.0% win probability, compared with 21.3% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: MFK Skalica

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KFC Komarno MFK Skalica

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KFC Komarno MFK Skalica

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8

MFK Skalica has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KFC Komarno MFK Skalica

The combined recent performance profile favours MFK Skalica.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

KFC Komarno ↓ -0.16 (-8.2%)

MFK Skalica ↑ +0.62 (+15.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.