Le Havre vs Brest

05 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.3 pp

Le Havre

Brest

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.5% DRAW 29.3% AWAY 42.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.6% 3.00 DRAW 29.6% 3.30 AWAY 37.9% 2.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Brest clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.2% win probability, compared with 37.9% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Brest has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Le Havre Brest

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 17.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Brest, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Le Havre Brest

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Brest has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Le Havre Brest

The combined recent performance profile favours Brest.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Le Havre ↑ +0.27 (+9.8%)

Brest ↓ -0.24 (-8.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.