FC Utrecht Reserves vs Ajax Reserves

14 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

FC Utrecht Reserves

Ajax Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.4% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 36.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% 2.30 DRAW 23.3% 4.13 AWAY 34.9% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ajax Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Utrecht Reserves Ajax Reserves

Shots 15.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 16.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Ajax Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Utrecht Reserves Ajax Reserves

Shots allowed 18.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Utrecht Reserves Ajax Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Utrecht Reserves ↑ +0.20 (+9.5%)

Ajax Reserves ↓ -0.18 (-6.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.