NAC vs FC Eindhoven

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

NAC

FC Eindhoven

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.0% DRAW 15.4% AWAY 10.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.2% 1.37 DRAW 17.3% 5.55 AWAY 12.4% 7.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for NAC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 74.0% win probability, compared with 70.2% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NAC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NAC FC Eindhoven

Shots 20.8 · On target 7.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours NAC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NAC FC Eindhoven

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NAC FC Eindhoven

The combined recent performance profile favours NAC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NAC ↑ +0.01 (+0.8%)

FC Eindhoven ↑ +0.25 (+3.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.