FC Emmen vs Top Oss

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.5 pp

FC Emmen

Top Oss

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.3% DRAW 18.9% AWAY 14.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.8% 1.61 DRAW 21.3% 4.50 AWAY 18.8% 5.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FC Emmen substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 66.3% win probability, compared with 59.8% implied by the market. The 6.5 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Emmen has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Emmen Top Oss

Shots 19.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Emmen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Emmen Top Oss

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 20.8 · On target allowed 5.5

FC Emmen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Emmen Top Oss

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Emmen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Emmen ↑ +0.10 (+6.4%)

Top Oss ↓ -0.40 (-7.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.