FC Dordrecht vs Almere City FC

25 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

FC Dordrecht

Almere City FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.6% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 49.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.9% 3.30 DRAW 22.4% 4.26 AWAY 48.8% 1.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Dordrecht Almere City FC

Shots 15.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Dordrecht Almere City FC

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Almere City FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Dordrecht Almere City FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Dordrecht ↑ +0.27 (+8.9%)

Almere City FC ↓ -0.15 (-7.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.