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Netherlands Eerste Divisie · NL

PSV Reserves vs Ajax Reserves

31 Aug 2026 · 20:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 54.1%
Draw 21.5%
Away 24.4%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 29.7 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

PSV Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
PSV Reserves Ajax Reserves
Shots 17.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours PSV Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
PSV Reserves Ajax Reserves
Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 8.0

PSV Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
PSV Reserves Ajax Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours PSV Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

PSV Reserves ↓ 0.00 (-0.2%)
Ajax Reserves ↑ +0.24 (+6.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.891
Shot rating 47
Shots-on-target rating 20
Qualified model signal Detected
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus, recent performance and the StochasticBet model point in the same direction.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.