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Netherlands Eerste Divisie · NL

AZ Reserves vs FC Utrecht Reserves

31 Aug 2026 · 20:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 59.9%
Draw 20.7%
Away 19.4%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 39.2 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: AZ Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
AZ Reserves FC Utrecht Reserves
Shots 12.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 14.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
AZ Reserves FC Utrecht Reserves
Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 6.8

AZ Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
AZ Reserves FC Utrecht Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours AZ Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

AZ Reserves ↓ 0.00 (-0.3%)
FC Utrecht Reserves ↑ +0.55 (+12.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.320
Shot rating 5
Shots-on-target rating 18
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.