FK Napredak vs Jedinstvo UB

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

FK Napredak

Jedinstvo UB

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.9% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 13.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.2% 1.53 DRAW 24.9% 3.70 AWAY 14.8% 6.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FK Napredak relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.9% win probability, compared with 60.2% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FK Napredak

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Napredak Jedinstvo UB

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Napredak Jedinstvo UB

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 7.3

FK Napredak has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Napredak Jedinstvo UB

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Napredak.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Napredak ↓ -0.01 (-0.6%)

Jedinstvo UB ↑ +0.31 (+5.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.