FK Graficar Beograd vs Bor 1919

17 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

FK Graficar Beograd

Bor 1919

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.3% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 25.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.2% 1.99 DRAW 26.3% 3.50 AWAY 27.6% 3.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FK Graficar Beograd relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.3% win probability, compared with 46.2% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Graficar Beograd

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Graficar Beograd Bor 1919

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours FK Graficar Beograd, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Graficar Beograd Bor 1919

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Graficar Beograd Bor 1919

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Graficar Beograd.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FK Graficar Beograd ↑ +0.30 (+17.8%)

Bor 1919 ↓ -1.20 (-26.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.