Spartak Subotica vs FK Vozdovac

21 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

Spartak Subotica

FK Vozdovac

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.3% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 19.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.1% 1.88 DRAW 27.5% 3.50 AWAY 21.4% 4.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Spartak Subotica relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.3% win probability, compared with 51.1% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Spartak Subotica has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Spartak Subotica FK Vozdovac

Shots 16.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Spartak Subotica, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Spartak Subotica FK Vozdovac

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Spartak Subotica has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Spartak Subotica FK Vozdovac

The combined recent performance profile favours Spartak Subotica.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Spartak Subotica ↓ -0.02 (-0.8%)

FK Vozdovac ↑ +0.75 (+20.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.