Jedinstvo UB vs Loznica

21 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.4 pp

Jedinstvo UB

Loznica

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.3% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 38.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.5% 2.50 DRAW 28.5% 3.20 AWAY 35.1% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Loznica relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.5% win probability, compared with 35.1% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Loznica has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jedinstvo UB Loznica

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Loznica, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jedinstvo UB Loznica

Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jedinstvo UB Loznica

The combined recent performance profile favours Loznica.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Jedinstvo UB = (0.0%)

Loznica ↓ -0.03 (-1.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.