Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

26 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.0% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 30.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% 2.15 DRAW 26.0% 3.68 AWAY 29.5% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tegevajaro Miyazaki ↑ +0.04 (+1.9%)

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo ↑ +0.05 (+1.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.