Jubilo Iwata vs Vanraure Hachinohe

26 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Jubilo Iwata

Vanraure Hachinohe

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.7% DRAW 23.1% AWAY 15.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.7% 1.56 DRAW 23.7% 4.00 AWAY 15.7% 6.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Jubilo Iwata

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jubilo Iwata Vanraure Hachinohe

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Jubilo Iwata, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jubilo Iwata Vanraure Hachinohe

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Vanraure Hachinohe has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jubilo Iwata Vanraure Hachinohe

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Jubilo Iwata ↓ -0.09 (-5.5%)

Vanraure Hachinohe ↑ +0.82 (+15.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.