Iwaki FC vs Vegalta Sendai

26 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Iwaki FC

Vegalta Sendai

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.7% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 47.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.4% 3.50 DRAW 26.9% 3.56 AWAY 45.7% 2.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Vegalta Sendai

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Iwaki FC Vegalta Sendai

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 15.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Vegalta Sendai, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Iwaki FC Vegalta Sendai

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Iwaki FC Vegalta Sendai

The combined recent performance profile favours Vegalta Sendai.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Iwaki FC ↑ +0.09 (+2.6%)

Vegalta Sendai = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.