Blaublitz Akita vs Albirex Niigata

26 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Blaublitz Akita

Albirex Niigata

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.8% DRAW 29.0% AWAY 28.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.9% 2.40 DRAW 29.2% 3.28 AWAY 30.9% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Blaublitz Akita relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.8% win probability, compared with 39.9% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Albirex Niigata

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Blaublitz Akita Albirex Niigata

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Albirex Niigata, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Blaublitz Akita Albirex Niigata

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.5

Blaublitz Akita has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Blaublitz Akita Albirex Niigata

The combined recent performance profile favours Blaublitz Akita.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Blaublitz Akita ↓ -0.06 (-2.4%)

Albirex Niigata ↑ +0.15 (+5.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.