Vanraure Hachinohe vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

18 Sep 2026 · 06:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Vanraure Hachinohe

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.6% DRAW 30.9% AWAY 37.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.7% 3.50 DRAW 30.2% 3.21 AWAY 42.1% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Vanraure Hachinohe relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.6% win probability, compared with 27.7% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Vanraure Hachinohe

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vanraure Hachinohe Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vanraure Hachinohe Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.0

Vanraure Hachinohe has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vanraure Hachinohe Tegevajaro Miyazaki

The combined recent performance profile favours Vanraure Hachinohe.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Vanraure Hachinohe ↓ -0.05 (-1.4%)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki ↑ +0.25 (+12.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.