Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Oita

19 Sep 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Oita

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.6% DRAW 30.0% AWAY 32.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% 2.46 DRAW 29.8% 3.20 AWAY 31.5% 3.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Oita

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Oita

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Oita has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Oita

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo ↑ +0.11 (+4.7%)

Oita ↑ +0.03 (+1.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.