Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Fujieda MYFC

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Fujieda MYFC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% DRAW 29.8% AWAY 28.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.3% 2.16 DRAW 29.2% 3.35 AWAY 25.4% 3.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Fujieda MYFC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 28.0% win probability, compared with 25.4% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Fujieda MYFC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Fujieda MYFC

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Fujieda MYFC

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Fujieda MYFC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Fujieda MYFC

The combined recent performance profile favours Fujieda MYFC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tegevajaro Miyazaki ↑ +0.11 (+5.4%)

Fujieda MYFC ↑ +0.13 (+3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.