FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

FC Imabari

Sagan Tosu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.8% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 44.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.4% 3.35 DRAW 28.3% 3.36 AWAY 43.3% 2.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sagan Tosu

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Imabari Sagan Tosu

Shots 9.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Sagan Tosu, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Imabari Sagan Tosu

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Imabari Sagan Tosu

The combined recent performance profile favours Sagan Tosu.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Imabari ↑ +0.04 (+1.2%)

Sagan Tosu ↑ +0.05 (+2.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.