Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United

26 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Giravanz Kitakyushu

Kagoshima United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.1% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 56.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% 4.97 DRAW 25.1% 3.86 AWAY 55.4% 1.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Kagoshima United has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Giravanz Kitakyushu Kagoshima United

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Giravanz Kitakyushu Kagoshima United

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Kagoshima United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Giravanz Kitakyushu Kagoshima United

The combined recent performance profile favours Kagoshima United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Giravanz Kitakyushu ↑ +0.97 (+24.3%)

Kagoshima United = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.