Kochi United vs FC Osaka

26 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.3 pp

Kochi United

FC Osaka

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.9% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 44.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.8% 3.07 DRAW 29.5% 3.20 AWAY 39.7% 2.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FC Osaka clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.0% win probability, compared with 39.7% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Osaka has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kochi United FC Osaka

Shots 5.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Osaka, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kochi United FC Osaka

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 1.8

FC Osaka has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kochi United FC Osaka

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Osaka.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Kochi United ↑ +0.27 (+9.5%)

FC Osaka = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.