Nara Club vs Reilac Shiga

26 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Nara Club

Reilac Shiga

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.7% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 31.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% 2.45 DRAW 28.8% 3.30 AWAY 32.4% 2.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Reilac Shiga

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nara Club Reilac Shiga

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nara Club Reilac Shiga

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nara Club Reilac Shiga

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Nara Club ↑ +0.30 (+14.0%)

Reilac Shiga ↑ +0.03 (+1.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.