Fukushima Utd vs Parceiro Nagano

26 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Fukushima Utd

Parceiro Nagano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 29.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.9% 2.17 DRAW 26.6% 3.50 AWAY 30.4% 3.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fukushima Utd

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fukushima Utd Parceiro Nagano

Shots 11.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Fukushima Utd, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fukushima Utd Parceiro Nagano

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Parceiro Nagano has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fukushima Utd Parceiro Nagano

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fukushima Utd ↑ +0.05 (+2.4%)

Parceiro Nagano ↑ +0.06 (+2.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.