FC Osaka vs Fukushima Utd

18 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

FC Osaka

Fukushima Utd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.2% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 21.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% 1.76 DRAW 25.2% 3.71 AWAY 21.7% 4.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fukushima Utd

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Osaka Fukushima Utd

Shots 11.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Fukushima Utd, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Osaka Fukushima Utd

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.8

FC Osaka has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Osaka Fukushima Utd

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Osaka ↓ -0.18 (-9.4%)

Fukushima Utd ↑ +0.76 (+21.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.