Reilac Shiga vs Kagoshima United

13 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Reilac Shiga

Kagoshima United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.5% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 53.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.2% 4.24 DRAW 26.4% 3.57 AWAY 51.4% 1.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Kagoshima United has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Reilac Shiga Kagoshima United

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 15.5 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Kagoshima United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Reilac Shiga Kagoshima United

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Kagoshima United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Reilac Shiga Kagoshima United

The combined recent performance profile favours Kagoshima United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Reilac Shiga ↑ +0.79 (+22.9%)

Kagoshima United ↓ -0.10 (-5.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.