Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi SC

13 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Parceiro Nagano

Tochigi SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.8% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 45.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.3% 3.62 DRAW 29.7% 3.20 AWAY 44.0% 2.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Tochigi SC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Parceiro Nagano Tochigi SC

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Tochigi SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Parceiro Nagano Tochigi SC

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Tochigi SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Parceiro Nagano Tochigi SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Tochigi SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Parceiro Nagano ↑ +0.67 (+22.7%)

Tochigi SC ↓ -0.14 (-6.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.