Fukushima Utd vs Roasso Kumamoto

12 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Fukushima Utd

Roasso Kumamoto

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.0% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 36.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.1% 2.55 DRAW 25.6% 3.59 AWAY 38.3% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fukushima Utd

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fukushima Utd Roasso Kumamoto

Shots 13.3 · On target 7.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Fukushima Utd, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fukushima Utd Roasso Kumamoto

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Roasso Kumamoto has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fukushima Utd Roasso Kumamoto

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fukushima Utd ↓ -0.05 (-1.9%)

Roasso Kumamoto ↓ -0.07 (-2.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.