Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF Utd Chiba

19 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

Shimizu S-Pulse

JEF Utd Chiba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.9% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 21.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.0% 1.94 DRAW 28.4% 3.43 AWAY 21.6% 4.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shimizu S-Pulse JEF Utd Chiba

Shots 10.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shimizu S-Pulse JEF Utd Chiba

Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shimizu S-Pulse JEF Utd Chiba

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Shimizu S-Pulse ↑ +0.03 (+1.8%)

JEF Utd Chiba ↑ +0.48 (+11.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.