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Japan J-League · JP

Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo

02 Sep 2026 · 12:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Away Lean

Home 25.7%
Draw 27.8%
Away 46.6%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 18.8 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

FC Tokyo has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Shimizu S-Pulse FC Tokyo
Shots 7.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 18.3 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Tokyo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Shimizu S-Pulse FC Tokyo
Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 1.8

FC Tokyo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Shimizu S-Pulse FC Tokyo

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Tokyo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Shimizu S-Pulse ↑ +0.35 (+9.6%)
FC Tokyo ↓ -0.04 (-2.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -0.011
Shot rating -47
Shots-on-target rating -21
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Away Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the away side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.