STOCHASTICBET
← Match Center
Japan J-League · JP

Urawa Red Diamonds vs V-Varen Nagasaki

25 Oct 2026 · 07:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Recent Performance

The home side have enjoyed a strong sequence of recent results.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Urawa Red Diamonds has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Urawa Red Diamonds V-Varen Nagasaki
Shots 17.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 11.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Urawa Red Diamonds, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Urawa Red Diamonds V-Varen Nagasaki
Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Urawa Red Diamonds has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Urawa Red Diamonds V-Varen Nagasaki

The combined recent performance profile favours Urawa Red Diamonds.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Japan J-League · 176 matches with scores · 176 with shots · coverage 100.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Urawa Red Diamonds6 matches · 1 home / 5 away
WWWLWW
Shot data available for 3/6 matches
V-Varen Nagasaki6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
WLDLLD
Shot data available for 4/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Urawa Red DiamondsHome team
+5.618.3 actual
V-Varen NagasakiAway team
+0.813.5 actual
Below benchmark0Above benchmark
Urawa Red Diamonds: 18.3 · league average 12.7 · 3 valid matchesV-Varen Nagasaki: 13.5 · league average 12.7 · 4 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Urawa Red DiamondsHome team
−2.110.7 actual
V-Varen NagasakiAway team
+2.315.0 actual
Below benchmark0Above benchmark
Urawa Red Diamonds: 10.7 · league average 12.8 · 3 valid matchesV-Varen Nagasaki: 15.0 · league average 12.7 · 4 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Urawa Red DiamondsHome team
+0.85.0 actual
V-Varen NagasakiAway team
−0.53.8 actual
Below benchmark0Above benchmark
Urawa Red Diamonds: 5.0 · league average 4.3 · 3 valid matchesV-Varen Nagasaki: 3.8 · league average 4.3 · 4 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Urawa Red DiamondsHome team
−1.72.7 actual
V-Varen NagasakiAway team
+0.54.8 actual
Below benchmark0Above benchmark
Urawa Red Diamonds: 2.7 · league average 4.3 · 3 valid matchesV-Varen Nagasaki: 4.8 · league average 4.3 · 4 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Urawa Red DiamondsHome team
+0.962.33 actual
V-Varen NagasakiAway team
−0.221.17 actual
Below benchmark0Above benchmark
Urawa Red Diamonds: 2.33 · league average 1.37 · 6 valid matchesV-Varen Nagasaki: 1.17 · league average 1.39 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Urawa Red DiamondsHome team
−3.7 pp7.3% actual
V-Varen NagasakiAway team
−0.0 pp11.1% actual
Below benchmark0Above benchmark
Urawa Red Diamonds: 7.3% · league average 11.0% · 3 valid matchesV-Varen Nagasaki: 11.1% · league average 11.2% · 4 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Urawa Red DiamondsHome team
+4.3 pp15.6% actual
V-Varen NagasakiAway team
−4.5 pp6.7% actual
Below benchmark0Above benchmark
Urawa Red Diamonds: 15.6% · league average 11.4% · 3 valid matchesV-Varen Nagasaki: 6.7% · league average 11.2% · 4 valid matches

Individual match details

Urawa Red Diamonds · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
21/10/2026Home3–211 / 154 / 2
17/10/2026Away1–033 / 19 / 1
14/10/2026Away4–0——
10/10/2026Away0–311 / 162 / 5
07/10/2026Away3–2——
29/09/2026Away3–2——
V-Varen Nagasaki · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
21/10/2026Home4–012 / 194 / 3
17/10/2026Away0–215 / 52 / 3
11/10/2026Away1–113 / 185 / 7
07/10/2026Away1–2——
29/09/2026Away0–2——
19/09/2026Home1–114 / 184 / 6

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.