Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo Verdy

19 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Urawa Red Diamonds

Tokyo Verdy

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.3% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 24.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% 2.06 DRAW 29.4% 3.30 AWAY 23.6% 4.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Urawa Red Diamonds

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Urawa Red Diamonds Tokyo Verdy

Shots 15.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 13.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Urawa Red Diamonds Tokyo Verdy

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Tokyo Verdy has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Urawa Red Diamonds Tokyo Verdy

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Urawa Red Diamonds ↑ +0.23 (+12.8%)

Tokyo Verdy ↓ -0.61 (-13.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.