Tokyo Verdy vs JEF Utd Chiba

13 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Tokyo Verdy

JEF Utd Chiba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 28.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% 2.25 DRAW 29.1% 3.33 AWAY 27.8% 3.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: JEF Utd Chiba

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tokyo Verdy JEF Utd Chiba

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours JEF Utd Chiba, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tokyo Verdy JEF Utd Chiba

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tokyo Verdy JEF Utd Chiba

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tokyo Verdy ↓ 0.00 (-0.1%)

JEF Utd Chiba ↑ +0.18 (+5.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.